September 2025 concluded with a stark divergence in the global commodity markets, painting a clear picture of winners and losers driven by a confluence of macroeconomic shifts, geopolitical uncertainties, and fundamental supply-demand dynamics. While precious metals staged an impressive rally, reaching multi-year and even all-time highs, the agricultural sector, particularly
In a significant blow to U.S. soybean farmers, China, their largest buyer, has ceased purchasing their crops, leaving them with a surplus, choosing instead to source from Brazil.
U.S. soybean farmers have urged President Donald Trump to secure a trade deal with China that includes substantial soybean purchases, warning of severe long-term economic consequences if the U.S. crop continues to be shunned.
Gold prices surged to fresh highs amid concerns about the US Federal Reserve’s independence. Oil and other risk assets, however, are under pressure amid heightened global uncertainty.
Remarkably, May Beans have managed to rally 90 cents (970-1050) this month despite the massive tariffs against China – as other countries have stepped up their exports.
Trump surprised markets with a 90-day pause in reciprocal tariffs for most trading partners. This provided a boost to risk assets, including commodities. However, there’s still plenty of uncertainty as the US again increased tariffs on China.
Cotton was lower in a further response to the Trump tariffs that threaten to greatly increase the costs of imports from China and Vietnam among other things.
CBOT corn corrected as newly published average U.S. acreage guesses push above USDA’s Outlook Forum estimate of 94 Mil, while Brazilian futures extract premium on improving rain chances.
Tensions in the Middle East have resurfaced, supporting oil prices. The market is also watching closely the outcome of talks between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin.
