Real estate technology company Compass (NYSE:COMP) met Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q2 CY2025, with sales up 21.1% year on year to $2.06 billion. On the other hand, next quarter’s revenue guidance of $1.79 billion was less impressive, coming in 1.2% below analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.16 per share was 7.6% below analysts’ consensus estimates.
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Compass (COMP) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $2.06 billion vs analyst estimates of $2.06 billion (21.1% year-on-year growth, in line)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.16 vs analyst expectations of $0.17 (7.6% miss)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $125.9 million vs analyst estimates of $119.5 million (6.1% margin, 5.3% beat)
- Revenue Guidance for Q3 CY2025 is $1.79 billion at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $1.81 billion
- EBITDA guidance for Q3 CY2025 is $70 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $65.86 million
- Operating Margin: 1.9%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Transactions: 73,025, up 12,635 year on year
- Market Capitalization: $4.43 billion
StockStory’s Take
Compass delivered a second quarter that was well received by the market, with management highlighting agent recruiting, platform engagement, and operational efficiency as primary drivers. CEO Robert Reffkin noted that Compass achieved all-time highs in several areas, including agent retention and technology adoption, despite what he called “one of the toughest housing markets in history.” Management also emphasized Compass’s ability to gain market share, outpacing broader industry transaction trends.
Looking ahead, Compass’s guidance reflects ongoing investment in technology and operational efficiency, with a particular focus on cost discipline and productivity gains. The company aims to further expand its Title & Escrow business and accelerate the rollout of AI-driven platform enhancements. CFO Kalani Reelitz noted that upcoming cost initiatives are expected to deliver at least $50 million in incremental adjusted EBITDA next year, while CEO Reffkin stated, “We will continue to execute against our long-term strategy, regardless of where the housing market goes.”
Key Insights from Management’s Remarks
Management attributed the quarter’s momentum to strong agent recruiting, higher platform adoption, and execution of cost-saving measures, while also noting sector-wide challenges and the impact of recent acquisitions.
- Agent recruiting momentum: Compass saw its highest-ever quarterly organic principal agent recruiting, adding 832 agents, a 53% increase year-over-year, driven by agent demand for greater autonomy and support.
- Platform engagement growth: The Compass platform achieved a record 24 average weekly sessions per agent, up 37% from last year, with top producers reporting workflow improvements and enhanced client transparency from features like Compass One and listing insights.
- Operational efficiency focus: Over $600 million in operating expense savings have been realized over the past three years, and a new program is expected to yield at least $50 million in additional savings by 2026, with further gains anticipated from AI-driven process improvements.
- Title & Escrow expansion: Title & Escrow (T&E) attach rates climbed, with some mature markets reaching 40% and One-Click Title users seeing rates up to 75%. The business entered New York and is set to be present in 70% of Compass markets by year-end.
- Leadership transition: CFO Kalani Reelitz will be succeeded by Scott Wahlers, the current Chief Accounting Officer, who has played a key role in expense management and financial operations, ensuring continuity in Compass’s strategic execution.
Drivers of Future Performance
Management expects near-term growth to be driven by expanded agent productivity, disciplined cost management, and enhanced AI-enabled platform offerings, while navigating ongoing industry challenges and market uncertainties.
- Cost discipline and efficiency: Compass plans to maintain strict control over operating expenses, leveraging both ongoing process improvements and AI tools to offset inflation and further improve margin performance, with at least $50 million in adjusted EBITDA improvements targeted for next year.
- Platform and product enhancements: The company will beta test Compass AI 2.0 in the fall, aiming to boost agent productivity and operational efficiency, while also increasing adoption of the Compass One dashboard and scaling Title & Escrow services across more markets.
- M&A and market share: Management sees a robust pipeline of brokerage acquisitions, accelerated by industry regulatory changes and market pressures, which could further consolidate Compass’s position and provide additional revenue streams.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, our analysts will track (1) the adoption and impact of Compass AI 2.0 platform enhancements on agent productivity, (2) progress in expanding Title & Escrow services into new markets and achieving higher attach rates, and (3) execution of further operating expense reductions and integration of new brokerage acquisitions. Sustained agent recruiting and retention will also be important signals for Compass’s competitive position.
Compass currently trades at $8.48, up from $7.25 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
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